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Novell layoffs coming?

By Lauren Rudd on October 21, 2005 (8:00:00 AM)

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Novell may lay off 10 to 15 percent of its staff as early as Monday, according to sources close to the company. It appears that one or more of the larger shareholders in the company are becoming worried about Novell's future.

The shareholders have suggested that Novell divest itself of its consulting group and GroupWise division, while at the same time instituting personnel cuts across the board to bring expenses more in line with revenues. Although NetWare engineers would likely be at risk if that scenario were to play out, Novell has a substantial investment in those people and would probably retrain them to work with its Linux products rather than lose them.

A call to Bruce Lowery, Novell's director of public relations, brought the standard "We do not comment on rumors or speculation" reply. However, Lowery did point out that management's position that a corporate restructuring was necessary is no secret. In fact, Lowery said that management made that point quite clear during its discussion of third quarter results.

Clearly the company has to do something if it is to survive long-term. On August 4, in "Are the wheels coming off Novell's wagon?" I wrote that although Novell received some temporary relief as a result of cash settlements from legal suits, its operating performance was declining.

If you dig into Novell's 2004 10K filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), the problem is no secret to management. According to filing, the company said that its NetWare revenue stream continues to deteriorate, declining by $36 million in fiscal 2004, excluding the impact of favorable foreign exchange rates.

To try and stem the decline, Novell indicated that its next generation of NetWare will give customers the opportunity to migrate to Linux and open source solutions while maintaining the enterprise-class functionality to which they have become accustomed.

By providing this migration strategy, Novell hopes to not only retain existing NetWare customers, but to also gain new customers who are looking for the additional benefits that open source has to offer. However, if the strategy is unsuccessful, the NetWare revenue stream will continue to deteriorate faster than it can be replaced by revenues from other products.

Late in August, Novell released its third quarter earnings, which indicate that Novell is flush with cash, about $1.6 billion, mostly from lawsuits. For the quarter, Novell reported revenues of $290 million, versus $305 million a year ago. Earnings available to shareholders in the third quarter were $2 million, which amounted to $0.00 earnings per diluted common share, versus 6 cents per share a year ago.

On a non-GAAP basis, which means "Watch my sleight of hand with the numbers," adjusted net income was 3 cents per share, when you exclude restructuring charges of $9 million and a net gain of $1 million on the sale of previously impaired long-term investments. That was the same as a year ago, which back then excluded the effect of the payment from Canopy of $19 million as a result of a legal judgment, restructuring charges of $9 million, and long-term investment impairments of $1 million.

On the third quarter balance sheet, cash and short-term investments were $1.6 billion as of July 31, 2005, consistent with $1.6 billion on April 30, 2005. Days sales outstanding (DSO) in accounts receivable was 77 days at the end of the third fiscal quarter 2005, the same as a year ago. This means that it is taking Novell 2.5 months to collect money owed. Cash flow from operations was a positive $15 million for the third fiscal quarter 2005, down from $65 million in the third fiscal quarter 2004, which included the $19 million payment from Canopy.

Here is the bottom line. Novell has sufficient cash that it could go for at least another year. Technically, the company's cash belongs to the shareholders, and the largest among them do not want to see it dissipated while management pursues what some might consider to be either dead-end paths or paths that diverge from Novell's current strength, which is to capitalize on its Linux offerings.

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Great products are nothing without marketing

Posted by: Anonymous Coward on October 21, 2005 06:25 PM
QUOTE: Novell hopes to not only retain existing NetWare customers, but to also gain new customers who are looking for the additional benefits that open source has to offer.


How on earth do Novell expect to gain new customers when they don't market them - Open Enterprise Server is one of the best Server Operating Systems available but who's going to buy it if they don't know about it. Look at Microsoft, there are adverts in every Newspaper, on TV, in Tech Journals, in Industry Magazines, it gets the product out there and noticed.

Come on Novell you've got the product, now get the marketing.

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Re:Great products are nothing without marketing

Posted by: Joseph Cooper on October 21, 2005 08:50 PM
Not only that, but they go direct to the big customers and negotiate relentlessly to make sure their product gets used.

This is sorta what Linspire is doing, if you've read the recent articles about them getting into US schools.

Personally, I like Linspire and plan to use it on my next computer, but regardless, the bottom line is that product quality is less than relevant. Business strategy and marketing plan are the most important things.

Quality will get you a best-quality award, but it won't get you best-sales. Sales will!

And I'm not even being cynical about it. This is the way things ought to work. If someone doesn't KNOW something is the best, how do they know to buy it? Duh!

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Re:Great products are nothing without marketing

Posted by: Anonymous Coward on October 21, 2005 09:02 PM
Heh heh, I remember having this conversation walking around the University of Utah at Brainshare (do they still have that) in 1995.

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Re:Great products are nothing without marketing

Posted by: Anonymous Coward on October 22, 2005 01:00 AM
I think Novell has a good strategy with SUSE but the message needs to get to higher levels of IT management. Mid-level managers are afraid of rocking the boat and senior managers are afraid of their CxO peers who support the 'nobody gets fired for buying MS' mindset.

I think they have to demonstrate to the CxO people that their solutions are viable, flexible and integrate well into their existing environments while saving them money. No doubt that is what they are trying to do, but they should just do more of it.

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Novell's Quality is Unsurpassed

Posted by: Anonymous Coward on October 21, 2005 08:06 PM
As a longtime Novell user, I can't begin to tell you how disappointing this is. When I first started using Novell products professionally, around eight years ago, I thought them mediocre, at best. Support was adequate -- arguably better than Microsoft or Sun -- but not by much. Code was of good quality only on mature products. Bad interfaces and quirky coding abounded in newer products.

In the time since, I've seen the company become revitalized, envisioning products which customers need and greatly improving the quality of code while decreasing turnaround time on fixing bugs. Novell has grown a vibrant community to support and advise on the use of its products. And, Novell now provides the most compelling alternatives to market-leading Microsoft ("What do you want to reboot today?").

It's very disappointing that the market has failed to support Novell as they it to be supported. I hope it can hang in there long enough to see a financial dividend for its superior quality and user-focused approach.

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The company belongs to the shareholders

Posted by: Anonymous Coward on October 22, 2005 06:29 PM
Technically, the company's cash belongs to the shareholders

There's nothing "technical" about it. The company belongs to the shareholders, period.

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Doing my share...

Posted by: Anonymous Coward on October 22, 2005 07:53 PM
Well, I am going to go buy SUSE 10.0 -- It's worth the $60 I will pay for it.

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Heavy Shift

Posted by: ThoreauHD on October 23, 2005 08:14 PM
From all the articles I've read on this, it's looking like they are cleaning house on the Novell side for people that can't/won't learn linux. Novell as an OS is dead as fried chicken and has been for many years. Yes, it's stable, but so is anything you don't touch, save windows.

This isn't something to worry about. Their linux business will pick up steam and their novell piece will die off. It's hard to change, but they have to do it. IBM was the first to the bag with this change, and they've layed off a whole city full of people- but hired on more linux folks in counter-balance. The services they are selling and full support of linux are driving them now.

It needs to be done, in short. I think even Novell OS gurus will agree with that. Suse has a solid product line and I've bought every one of their OS's since 9.1. When they opened Yast, as I recall. Their enterprise server/clients are getting there but I haven't seen a total end to end package yet. Maybe that's marketing- maybe reality- I don't know.

In the end, I would go whole hog with Suse or Redhat, but in my case I have vertical market windows applications holding me back. Where I can, I go linux(Suse in particluar). Where I can't, I go windows/citrix so that I can use linux on the client. As vertical application programmers start moving cross-platform to linux, Suse's and in general linux vendors numbers will reach critical mass in the enterprise.

This is just a lull before the storm. Don't get all teary eyed just yet. This is just opportunity for the soon to be laid off Novell people. Once they get their Linux badge, they'll be able to go to any large or small vendor they want to gain employment- if Novell leaves them with a sour taste. All respect to the people affected by this. I know it's a big hit when a company dumps it's namesake for a "new" technology.

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ever since Windows NT 3.51 came out...

Posted by: Anonymous Coward on October 24, 2005 03:28 AM
Novell seems to have been in a cycle of:

1) Losing money on their Netware operations as people transition to standards-based solutions

2) Using their cash horde to buy interesting but somewhat random companies and technologies that don't seem to fit with what Novell's already got

3) Laying off staff and/or closing down operations they bought rather recently

4) Sue someone with deep pockets (often Microsoft) over IP and/or antitrust, to replenish their cash horde for another 2-3 years, and finally

5) asking investors for patience as they transition their executive team and business model

Geez, when's this going to end?

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Re:ever since Windows NT 3.51 came out...

Posted by: Anonymous Coward on October 25, 2005 12:45 AM
1. Novell solutions are standards-based... living under a rock are we?
2. Random to you perhaps, but have you actually looked at their portfolio and solutions? To the CxO of any Fortune 1000 they made just the right purchases to become a trusted advisor vendor.
3. Nothing new here for any large corporation.
4. Sued MS for anti-trust violations... whom else have they sued?
5. This is the first time in history that I can remember Novell having a clear vision and executing on it. Perhaps if Novell did some slight-of-hand accounting as many others in the industry do, then their numbers would have been higher.

"when's this going to end?" You certainly seem to be taking too much of what Novell does personally. Lighten up, there really are problems in the world to help fix... Novell isn't one of them.

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